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The Gingrich & Boone Pickens Energy Plans

Which Energy Plan Will Work?

By Brian Hicks
Wednesday, July 16th, 2008

Dear Wealth Daily reader:

In the past 2 weeks, we’ve been inundated with two specific energy proposals to kick America’s foreign oil addiction.

One has come from Newt Gingrich’s American Solutions advocacy group. You may have seen the commercial for the petition. The energy campaign’s motto is “Drill Here. Drill Now. Pay Less.”

Newt’s plan calls for drilling basically everywhere American oil companies can, domestically. There’s a heavy emphasis placed on the oil shale in the Rocky Mountains.

For more specifics on this proposal, go here: http://www.americansolutions.com/

The other energy plan comes from Texas oil billionaire T. Boone Pickens. Simply called the Pickens Plan, Boone calls for a massive construction boom in wind turbines, concentrated solar farms, and a conversion to natural gas.

You can see Boone’s plan here: http://www.pickensplan.com/

Now, I’ve been asked a hundred times which of these energy plans I think will work. The answer is both.

However, I should tell you that Newt’s Drill Here Drill Now energy plan is a drop in the bucket… and wouldn’t even come remotely close to ending our dependence on foreign oil.

“But Brian, doesn’t Rocky Mountain shale contain nearly 3 trillion barrels of oil?”

Nobody really knows.

But even if it did, it wouldn’t matter.

Why?

Because like my colleague Chris Nelder is so fond of reminding people, “it’s not the size of the tank, it’s the size of the tap that matters.”

I mean, you can get water out of a brick. But it’s not necessarily the best method to get water.

It’s the same with oil.

Oil production is about flow rates.

For decades we’ve been consuming oil that literally gushed out of the ground with very little effort.

Today that easy-to-get-oil is gone. And it’s gone forever.

With 1 trillion barrels of the easy oil already consumed, the world is going after what’s left… the harder-to-get oil. And that’s the problem with Newt’s plan.

If the geology constraints are such that you can only pump 50,000 barrels per day out of a 10 billion barrel recoverable oil formation, you’ll got over 500 years of life from that well.

But considering that the US imports 15 million barrels of oil per day, you have to find some super giant oil foods where the flow rates are ridiculous. That’s why domestic oil production will replace only a fraction of our imports.

In fact, let’s put that into perspective. To produce ALL the oil we consume here in America (21 million barrels per day), we need to find the equivalent of 2.2 Saudi Arabias. And it has to be the kind of oil that gushes out of the ground!

That’s the difference here.

Getting oil from shale is going to be an arduous task.

Having said that, we need to do everything to buy ourselves time. We need to drill domestically onshore and offshore. We need to build wind and solar farms. We need to build nuclear power plants… geothermal plants… everything.

And more importantly, we need innovative entrepreneurs to come up with the next primary and, yes, cheap energy source. Because mark my words, whoever comes up with the next cheap primary energy source is going to have the most robust economy in the world.

Cheap energy lubricates the economy. Period.

The bull market in energy is just beginning.

Brian Hicks

P.S. By the way, Chris Nelder and I have come up with our own energy plan. You can view it here: http://www.angelnexus.com/o/web/6774

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Comments:

Comment by Don R. Shaw, Jr. on 2008-07-18
I think it's a good article. Now I'll look and see what your plan is and maybe (hopefully) confirm my first impression.
donr

Comment by David Kruis on 2008-07-17
Sure, it is not easy oil. But costs are about $60.00 per barrel. Would it not be better to put our people to work with this $60 than send it overseas? We need the jobs and these are good jobs. Furthermore, it trickles down to equipement makers, steel producers, transporters - and it all stays here! I think this benefit would be as great as the oil itself. Where else can we get a "jobs program" and benefit national security at the same time while making a profit? One of the bright spots in the economy is Houston, why not add Wyoming, Colorado, Utah, Alaska, etc?

Comment by virginia pearson on 2008-07-16
We can save an enormous amouny of energy with not too much effort.
1.turn off 2/3 of street lamps
2. Turn off all electricity on office buildings from 10.00pm to7.00am every day
3. raise the price of gasoline to
$10 per gallon.
4everyone should have a bicycle or a horse for short trips.
5 walk everywhere possible.
6.everyone will be much healthier and will not use the hospitals so much.